College Football First Look: Georgia State vs. Louisiana 11/4/2021 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview
Georgia State visits Louisiana on 11/4/2021 at 7:30:00.
Georgia State and Louisiana face off in a regular season matchup. Games are on campuses and crowds are full once again! Georgia State sports a record of 4-4 this season. Louisiana is 7-1 this season. Enough preamble… Let’s get to the preview…
Georgia State Team Defense Preview
Georgia State has had 83 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.86 plays per drive. Georgia State’s opponents run a lot of plays per drive and this leads to fatigue in the Fourth Quarter. Georgia State has had a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays are 46.50% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have had some form of run/pass balance against them.
Georgia State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Georgia State can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.87 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect them to give up big rushing plays.
Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Georgia State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season .
Georgia State Team Offense Preview
Georgia State has had 85 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.54 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run , but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Georgia State has had shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has had converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays are 37.58% of their play calls.They favors running the ball as opposed airing it out.
Georgia State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.18 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.
Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Georgia State Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Georgia State is a better running team than passing team this season .
Louisiana Team Defense Preview
Louisiana has had 77 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.78 plays per drive. Louisiana’s opponents run a lot of plays per drive and this leads to fatigue in the Fourth Quarter. Third and long situations are common against this season ‘s defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays are 44.27% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents run the ball as opposed airing it out.
This is a pushover defense. Not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Louisiana can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.34 yards per carry. Their defense gives offensive lines too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have had shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.
Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Louisiana is better at stopping the run than the pass this season .
Louisiana Team Offense Preview
Louisiana has had 78 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.23 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Louisiana. Any defense is in for a challenge with Louisiana, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays are 45.47% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.
Louisiana is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.3 yards per carry. It is acceptable to say that this season ‘s offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Louisiana coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this season ‘s offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run forces opponents to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must, especially against zone read looks. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.
Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Louisiana this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Louisiana is a better passing team than running team this season .
The Georgia State Roster
The Players to Watch for Georgia State
Darren Grainger QB 6’4″ 202 Junior
Darren Grainger put up 909 yards, tossed 11 touchdowns, and he threw 3 interceptions this season. He threw a variety of different length passes. His average completed pass was 7.5 yards. He was considered one of the most mobile Quarterbacks in the country this season, designed runs and zone read looks are common. His average rush was 4.9 yards.
Tucker Gregg RB 5’10” 220 Senior
Tucker Gregg had 552 rushing yards on 96 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He had 4 rushing touchdowns. He is considered one of the workhorse running backs of College Football returning this season. His average rush was 5.8 yards. He was average among running backs when it comes to his role as a receiver in the offense. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 5.8 yards.
Jamari Thrash WR 6’0″ 180 Sophomore
Jamari Thrash picked up 291 yards through the air. He caught the ball 24 times this season. He reached the end zone 2 times. He is a go-to in the passing game. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 12.1 yards.
Javon Denis DE 6’0″ 264 Sophomore
The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Georgia State, Javon Denis, had 26 tackles this season.Among Defensive Tackles/Nose Tackles, he was clogging the gaps and playing disruptive proving he is one of the best at forcing lost yardage, he had 4 tackles for loss this season.He was a non-factor as far as sacking Quarterbacks was concerned this season.
Antavious Lane S 5’9″ 180 Sophomore
The leading tackler among Defensive Backs for Georgia State, Antavious Lane, had 50 tackles this season.He was not a factor as far as tackles for loss was concerned this season.He was among the best at disrupting things up the middle and getting to QBs, he had 1.0 sacks this season.
Bryquice Brown CB 6’0″ 180 Sophomore
The leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Georgia State, Bryquice Brown, had 27 tackles this season.He forced 0 tackles for loss this season.He had 0.0 pick-offs this season.
The Louisiana Roster
The Players to Watch for Louisiana
Levi Lewis QB 5’10” 184 Senior
Levi Lewis put up 1655 yards, tossed 11 touchdowns, and he threw 3 interceptions. He threw a variety of different length passes. His average completed pass was 7.3 yards. He was considered one of the most mobile Quarterbacks in the country this season, designed runs and zone read looks are common. His average rush was 3.4 yards.
Chris Smith RB 5’9″ 194 Sophomore
Chris Smith had 621 rushing yards on 99 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He had 8 rushing touchdowns. He is considered one of the workhorse running backs of College Football returning this season. His average rush was 6.3 yards. He was relied upon as a receiver in their offense this season. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 6.3 yards.
Dontae Fleming WR 6’1″ 167 Freshman
Dontae Fleming picked up 266 yards through the air. He caught the ball 19 times this season. He reached the end zone 1 times. He was a consistent option in the passing game this season. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 14.0 yards.
Zi’Yon Hill DL 6’1″ 283 Junior
The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Louisiana, Zi’Yon Hill, had 34 tackles this season.Among Defensive Tackles/Nose Tackles, he was clogging the gaps and playing disruptive proving he is one of the best at forcing lost yardage, he had 6 tackles for loss this season.He was among the best at disrupting things up the middle and getting to QBs, he had 3 sacks this season.
Percy Butler S 6’0″ 190 Junior
The leading tackler among Defensive Backs for Louisiana, Percy Butler, had 38 tackles this season.Among Defensive Backs, he was very active and disruptive in the backfield, he had 6 tackles for loss this season.He was among the best at disrupting things up the middle and getting to QBs, he had 1.0 sacks this season.
Eric Garror CB 5’9″ 176 Junior
The leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Louisiana, Eric Garror, had 18 tackles this season.He was effective at tackling receivers on screens with 1 tackles for loss this season.He was among the best at picking off passes, he had 1.0 interceptions this season. Lockdown corner.
Georgia State vs. Louisiana Prediction, Picks, and Odds
Prediction: Georgia State 26 Louisiana 30
Spread Pick: Georgia State +12.0 -110 Bovada Get $250 by signing up now.
Moneyline Pick: Louisiana -470 WagerWeb
Over Pick: Over 53.5 -110 Bovada Get $250 by signing up now.