My Actifit Report Card: February 15 2025

avatar

It all starts with a curiosity; The probability of asteroid 2024 YR4




The probability that asteroid 2024 YR4 will hit Earth in 2032 has increased quite a bit in recent days, but this is normally expected and still means that it probably won't end up hitting Earth.


The asteroid 2024 YR4 was discovered at the end of last year and recently set off alarm bells because it had a 1.6% probability of colliding with the earth in less than 8 years and with each passing day new data is taken and that probability, which is currently increasing, is recalculated.




Our telescopes do not have infinite resolution, therefore we do not know the position and speed of the asteroid with absolute precision, but there is a certain uncertainty that means that when we calculate its future orbit there is also a certain uncertainty about where it will pass exactly and we can represent that uncertainty by area.


The asteroid will necessarily pass through some point in the shadowed area, the probability of it colliding with the earth being the proportion between the size of the earth and the area of ​​that shadow. As the days go by and we make more observations, the area of ​​uncertainty decreases, but as long as the earth remains within it, the proportion of the planet with respect to that area will become larger and larger until, with a bit of luck, the uncertainty is reduced so much that it no longer includes the Earth and the probability of colliding becomes zero, so for now we still have to wait.



The images without reference were created with AI
Thank you for visiting my blog. If you like posts about #science, #planet, #politics, #rights #crypto, #traveling and discovering secrets and beauties of the #universe, feel free to Follow me as these are the topics I write about the most. Have a wonderful day and stay on this great platform :) :)


! The truth will set us free and science is the one that is closest to the truth!




_This report was published via Actifit app ([Android](https://bit.ly/actifit-app) | [iOS](https://bit.ly/actifit-ios)). Check out the original version [here on actifit.io](https://actifit.io/@jorgebgt/actifit-jorgebgt-20250215t040605811z)_


14/02/2025
8429
Cycling, Home Improvement

hive-193552 actifit science space ia phenomena astronomy stem planet scientific-curiosity sportstalk movetoearn move2earn
0
0
0.000
1 comments
avatar

Congrats on providing Proof of Activity via your Actifit report!

You have been rewarded 48.165 AFIT tokens for your effort in reaching 8429 activity, as well as your user rank and report quality!
You also received a 0.90% upvote via @actifit account.


Rewards Details

AFIT rewards and upvotes are based on your:
  • User rank: which depends on your delegated HP, accumulated AFIT tokens, rewarded post count, recent rewarded activity and owned AFITX.
  • Post score: which depends on your activity count, post content, post upvotes, quality comments, moderator review and user rank.

To improve your user rank, delegate more, pile up more AFIT and AFITX tokens, and post more.
To improve your post score, get to the max activity count, work on improving your post content, improve your user rank, engage with the community to get more upvotes and quality comments.

rulersig2.jpg
Chat with us on discord | Visit our website
Follow us on Twitter | Join us on Telegram
Download on playstore | Download on app store

Knowledge base:
FAQs | Whitepaper
How to signup | Maximize your rewards
Complete Actifit Tutorial
rulersig2.jpg
Support our efforts below by voting for:

0
0
0.000
Reply