Week 12 Results | 8W-12L-1P | -0.812 Units Loss
This season continues to be a major struggle and it doesn't look like this will end anytime soon. I already toned things down a lot and reduced my stake which helped me to avoid being down way more. At this point, I will likely continue this way hoping things will turn around and to see some overall improvements.
The way it looks, right now my style of 'value' betting is getting hard hits because 'overrated' favorites are covering all their heavy handicaps and goals come in bunches out of nowhere in matches that are completely dead. It's quite frustrating because I learned to stay away from 'winners' where the price simply doesn't have value while often going for more uncomfortable bets in underdogs or unders where the line just moved too much.
The way matches are playing out right now this way of betting simply has been without chance and the main question I have now is if this is just a temporary thing or if this will continue to be the norm. Overall it's clear that betting has become a lot more difficult that is for sure.
When things go bad it's always a good idea to zoom out and look at the bigger picture as I have been keeping stats with a chart for a longer period of time. This actually shows nothing out of the ordinary an I actually suffered more periods when there was downside like this. Given the fact that my stakes right now are on the low side it's actually a bit worse compared to what the chart shows but I got below what I generally expect to win and I will adjust my general profit expectation.
Pre-Game Preview Bets Season 2023-2024
I didn't have any pre-game 'official' recommendations as I'm still struggling too much myself.
Previous 3 Seasons Result
Regular Season 2023-2024 Personal Betting Chart
I have pretty much thrown all usual objectives out of the window in that I aim to make 10 units at least over the course of a seaon and do 10+ units of volume on average each week. Right now it's all about getting back the confidence that I actually have an edge while limiting the downside as much as possible. These periods are always inevitable as betting is never a straight line up. I already kind of am in piece for this to be my first real losing season unless I get on a crazy heater which also is always possible. One thing I'm glad about is that I still enjoy it and that thanks to my bankroll management I'm not getting in any kind of trouble anytime soon. Each week I also manage to press the mental reset button.
Regular Season Results 2023-2024
Week 12 Results 21 Bets | 08W-12L-01P | Staked 02.798u | -0.812u Loss
Week 11 Results 17 Bets | 03W-14L-00P | Staked 02.665u | -2.093u Loss
Week 10 Results 40 Bets | 17W-18L-05P | Staked 04.768u | -0.082u Loss
Week 09 Results 50 Bets | 20W-25L-05P | Staked 06.073u | -0.858u Loss
Week 08 Results 37 Bets | 14W-18L-05P | Staked 03.919u | +0.374u Profit
Week 07 Results 20 Bets | 08W-09L-03P | Staked 02.660u | -0.041u Loss
Week 06 Results 24 Bets | 12W-09L-04P | Staked 03.457u | -0.591u Loss
Week 05 Results 25 Bets | 12W-09L-04P | Staked 03.735u | +0.302u Profit
Week 04 Results 18 Bets | 05W-11L-02P | Staked 02.090u | -0.675u Loss
Week 03 Results 19 Bets | 06W-10L-03P | Staked 03.439u | -1.271u Loss
Week 02 Results 38 Bets | 12W-24L-02P | Staked 07.627u | -2.415u Loss
Week 01 Results 30 Bets | 12W-09L-09P | Staked 05.268u | +0.635u Profit
Total Season 2022-2023 Results
339 Bets | 125W-171L-43P | 48.499 Staked | -7.526u Loss | -15.52% ROI
Previous Seasons Personal Betting Results [8239 Bets +3.77% ROI]
Season 2022-2023 | 1598 Bets +4.71% ROI
Season 2021-2022 | 1364 Bets +2.72% ROI
Season 2020-2021 | 1504 Bets +4.37% ROI
Season 2019-2020 | 1406 Bets +2.48% ROI
Season 2018-2019 | 1090 Bets +2.47% ROI
Season 2017-2018 | 821 Bets +7.22% ROI