Jupiler League Week 16 Sunday Previews
Saturday was pretty neutral without anything that was great or bad. Still 4 matches to go and I'm looking forward to some more action.
Genk vs AA Gent
Genk is currently in 6th place and they are in a somewhat inbetween zone. Definitely not bad but also not great by any means. If this trend continues they will put up an ok but not great performance today. AA Gent seems to have adjusted their style of play increasing the intensity to match teams like Union and Cercle. So far they are pulling it off and especially in top encounters have shown to deliver good performances. The downside is that they potentially suffer fatigue later in the match. For me the gap between these 2 teams was nowhere near where the handicap opened which made me take a 0.204 unit bet on AA Gent +0.5 @ 1.918 which by now came down to a +0.25 line which feels more correct. I will keep it at that for now.Kv Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden
Kv Mechelen is showing some signs of improvement with a good performance last week away against Kortrijk. This might have been due to a poor home team so I'm keeping that very much in mind. They now took 2 wins in a row getting them outside of the direct danger zone and just 1 point short of STVV which feels unreal. Stvv can be seen as one of the revelation teams so far but they actually haven't taken that many points. Their main weakness remains the offense as they nearly exclusively rely on Koita scoring on Distance shots, free kicks, or penalties which got him up to 10 goals already on the season. Similar for Mechelen, scoring is not easy as they only managed to find the goal 16 times. Usually at home they play more forward but this isn't really showing in the numbers. As a result, the line is set at 2.25 but at the same time, I would not be surprised if a bet line Over 3.5 at 4.0+ held some good value and I might have a small go at that in case the match doesn't look too defensively. Based on the quality of play from both teams so far over the entire season, I would always go for Stvv +0.25 but given the improved form of Mechelen lately I feel like the line is pretty correct. So far, every match of mechelen at home had 10 corners or more while the last 3 away games of Stvv also each saw at least 10. This is also something I will keep in mind. For now though No Pre-Game BetsClub Brugge vs Standard
Clube Brugge right now is only 7th in the league and they are still searching with a combination of the defense not being top quality and the Strikers still having to find good form. The midfield and the wingers on the other hand are doing good. They played without Vanaken in the mid-week getting a big 0-5 win over Besiktas with Thiago finally finding the goal. Deila used to be the coach of standard witch might bring an extra dimension but it's hard to say who it will actually favor. Standard had a better period right after they got all their enforcements looking way more secure but they didn't fully manage to keep this expecially with the big 6-0 away loss against Antwerp where they were absolutely nowhere. This makes them really hard to trust. I would not be surprised for a similar scenario but at the same time them taking points also wouldn't since they shown that they do have quality while Club Brugge only showed this during the mid-week while dissapointing the months before. Standard also is better when not having to make the play. It's another match where I will just wait and see before getting in. No Pre-Game BetsUnion vs Cercle Brugge
Union dropped their winning streak with a draw away gainst Gent making a good comeback after a difficult 1st half. They did have a mid-week match but so far these haven't really influenced them. They continue to be a strong side but often get really high handicap which they still cover. Cercle continues to play their own style refusing the play football with high press and very vertical play forward. Despite their intentions to get in front of the goal of their opponent as quicky as possible also creating enough chances, they are now 11W-2L on the asian under line which these lines aren't really getting adjusted to that. Last week I had a position on the under which was quite uncomfortable in the first half since the pace was high but it still pulled through. Union on the other hand is a slight over team and they tend to cover their handicaps while they have excellent results in the 1st half. Cercle so far away has only lost the 1st half away once but had draws in all others. This will be a match with high intensity from both teams which might not help the overall quality. For once it feels like the Union handicap is quite reasonable also knowing they went and won with 0-2 in cercle deserved. Union so far at home had 4 out of 8 home matches go to 12 corners or more while Cercle away had 3 out of 7 go to 13 or more. I did take an initial 0.057 unit bet on Over 11 Corners @ 2.510 and will possibly look to add to this. I also took a 0.00968ETH crypto bet on Over 12.5 CK @ 3.50 over at dexsport.ioSeason 2023-2024 Crypto Bets
Date | Bet | Stake | Odds | Result | Bookie |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/12/2023 | UNI vs CER O 12.5 CK | 0.00968 ETH | 3.500 | TBD | Dexsport.io |
26/11/2023 | Anderlecht 1H -1.5 CK | 26.56$ | 1.800 | +21.25$ | Rollbit |
26/11/2023 | Anderlecht 1H -1.5 CK | 0.00968 ETH | 1.800 | +0.007744 ETH | Dexsport.io |
25/11/2023 | Westerlo +2 CK | 0.00968 ETH | 2.000 | +0.00968 ETH | Dexsport.io |
25/11/2023 | Westerlo +2.5 CK | 0.00968 ETH | 1.780 | + 0.0075504 ETH | Dexsport.io |
25/11/2023 | Westerlo +1.5 CK 1H | 0.00968 ETH | 1.700 | -0.00968 ETH | Dexsport.io |
05/11/2023 | UNI vs CLU Equal Goals | 20$ | 3.150 | -20$ | Rollbit |
05/11/2023 | UNI vs CLU 1H More Goals | 30$ | 3.150 | -30$ | Rollbit |
05/11/2023 | STA 1H -0.5 CK | 0.01058 ETH | 2.500 | +0.01587 ETH | Dexsport.io |
05/11/2023 | STA 1H -0.5 CK | 0.0106 ETH | 1.780 | +0.00827 ETH | Dexsport.io |
05/11/2023 | STA 1H -0.5 CK | 50$ | 1.740 | +37$ | Rollbit |
29/09/2023 | CER 1H O2.5 CK | 0.0119 ETH | 1.760 | +0.0090 ETH | Dexsport.io |
16/09/2023 | Genk -0.5 | 42$ | 4.000 | +126$ | Rollbit |
03/09/2023 | CHA vs STV O 12.5 CK | 0.0078 ETH | 4.800 | -0.0078ETH | Dexsport.io |
03/09/2023 | CHA vs STV O 11 CK | 0.0122 ETH | 3.100 | -0.0122 ETH | Dexsport.io |
27/08/2023 | AND 1H -0.5 CK | 100$ | 1.690 | -100$ | Rollbit |
19/08/2023 | Cercle Over CK | 0.05 ETH | ~ | -0.05 ETH | Dexsport.io |
17/08/2023 | GNK 1H -0.5 CK | 80$ | 1.620 | +49.6$ | Rollbit |
11/08/2023 | ANT 1H Goals +0 | 50$ | 2.328 | +66.4$ | Rollbit |
06/08/2023 | AA Gent TT O1.5 | 0.0018 BTC | 1.980 | -0.0018 BTC | Sportbet.one |
06/08/2023 | KVM vs GNT O2.5 | 00034 BTC | 1.870 | -0.0034 BTC | Sportbet.one |
06/08/2023 | Antwerp +0 | 0.0045 BTC | 1.810 | -0.0045 BTC | Sportbet.one |
06/08/2023 | Antwerp +0 | 0.03 ETH | 1.830 | -0.03 ETH | Dexsport.io |
06/08/2023 | Antwerp +0 | 30000 XFUN | 1.830 | -30000 XFUN | Xfun.bet |
5/08/2023 | Cercle 1H O 2.5 CK | 0.0109 ETH | 1.850 | -0.0109 ETH | Dexsport.io |
5/08/2023 | Cercle 1H -0.5 CK | 80$ | 1.670 | -80$ | Rollbit |
05/08/2023 | Genk -1.5 | 0.0045 BTC | 1.920 | -0.0045 BTC | Sportbet.one |
02/08/2023 | Genk 1H -0.5 CK | 50$ | 1.660 | +33$ | Rollbit |
30/07/2023 | Ant Equal Goals Halves | 3500 XFUN | 3.600 | -3500 XFUN | Xfun.bet |
30/07/2023 | Ant More Goals 1H | 40$ | 3.150 | +86$ | Rollbit |
Crypto & Blockchain-Based Bookies and Exchanges that I'm personally using with some allowing anonymous betting with no KYC or personal restrictions...
Previous Crypto Bet Results & Record
Year | Bets | Won | Lost | Push | Staked | Profit BTC | ROI |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-2023 | 76 | 42 | 31 | 3 | 0.1685 | +0.029687 | +17.62% |
2021-2022 | 56 | 27 | 25 | 4 | 0.115 | +0.0166 | +14.45% |
2020-2021 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.0250 | -0.002845 | -11.38% |
2019-2020 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0100 | +0.01271 | +127% |
2018-2019 | 59 | 24 | 27 | 5 | 0.5900 | -0.02199 | -3.7% |
2017-2018 | 136 | 65 | 64 | 7 | 1.233 | +0.112687 | +9.14% |
2016-2017 | 70 | 34 | 34 | 2 | 0.658 | +0.006912 | +1.05% |
Total | 402 | 194 | 183 | 22 | 2.7995 | +0.153761 | +5.49% |
IMPORTANT !
Past results don't guarantee Future Results. There are very few people that are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If you're not a professional, every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being successful at gambling. These bets are posted as a way to help myself in order to stay disciplined, always hold yourself accountable if you end up following. Proper Bankroll Management can highly decrease the risk of heavy losses!Posted using SportsTalkSocial
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